Saturday, June 9, 2007

Article: Writing on the Wall

Chairman of Joint Chiefs Will Not Be Reappointed - New York Times

The Secretary of the Army, now the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs. Seems like the writing is on the wall. Bush gives into to the Dem's, the Dem's say, we told you so. Petraus comes out in September and says, yeah, this isn't going to work anytime soon, Mullen, Gates, and Bush agree. It was the Iraqi's fault, they couldn't get it together. We'll try Baker-Hamilton now.

And then the good part, major strategic change in Iraq, pull out to the bases, train the Iraqi army, reduce troop levels, but more importantly reduce the casualty figures because everyone is on the base. The Shia delete the Sunni in a lot of places and you get the enclaves of Sunni here and there, Shia dominating and the Kurds in the north.

My guess is that will happen pretty quick, a year or so. I also bet it will be very ugly but not get that much media, simply no access and American probably wont want to here how it all went to pieces.